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League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Valley
B

Charlton
2 - 0
Barnsley

Campbell (19'), Rak-Sakyi (61')
Inniss (82'), Clare (84'), Bonne (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kitching (43'), Kane (57'), Andersen (66'), Norwood (82'), Phillips (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 3-0 Barnsley
Sunday, January 8 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

We said: Charlton Athletic 2-3 Barnsley

With aspirations of taking full advantage of their current games in hand, we predict that Barnsley will edge out an end-to-end five-goal thriller at The Valley. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBarnsley
40.23% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 26.33% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 33.44% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.7% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (0.024999999999999 0.02)51.93% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.32% (0.023 0.02)73.68% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.39% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79% (0.025999999999996 0.03)60.2% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)29.35% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.66% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)65.33% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 40.22%
    Barnsley 33.44%
    Draw 26.33%
Charlton AthleticDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 40.22%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Charlton
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-3 Charlton
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-1 Charlton
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Peterborough
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Brighton (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 21 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Barnsley
Sunday, January 8 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Bolton
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Fleetwood
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-1 Barnsley
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Barnsley
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One


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