Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Derby County |
25.13% (![]() | 22.76% (![]() | 52.11% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.34% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.15% (![]() | 40.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.76% (![]() | 63.24% (![]() |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.44% (![]() | 29.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.41% (![]() | 65.59% (![]() |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.24% (![]() | 15.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.12% (![]() | 44.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Derby County |
2-1 @ 6.39% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 3.2% Total : 25.13% | 1-1 @ 10.49% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 9.69% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.61% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.95% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.11% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: