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League One | Gameweek 18
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Valley
NT

Charlton
2 - 3
Northampton

McGowan (20' og.), Watson (45+3')
Edun (32'), Ladapo (58'), Bakinson (69'), Coventry (71')
Edun (86')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Simpson (7'), Hoskins (22'), Appere (90+7')
Hoskins (25'), Bowie (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Charlton
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 2-2 Northampton Town

Charlton will be desperate to end their long wait for a win, but we think that the Addicks may have to settle for a point against a Northampton side that has lost just one of their last seven league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawNorthampton Town
52.49% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 23.12% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 24.39% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 57.28% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.8% (0.138 0.14)43.2% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.4% (0.136 0.14)65.6% (-0.133 -0.13)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53% (0.029000000000011 0.03)16.48% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.81% (0.052999999999997 0.05)46.19% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58% (0.13800000000001 0.14)31.42% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21% (0.158 0.16)67.8% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 52.49%
    Northampton Town 24.39%
    Draw 23.11%
Charlton AthleticDrawNorthampton Town
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.49%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 24.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Charlton
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Peterborough
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 3-3 Charlton
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Oxford Utd
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Charlton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Charlton
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Cheltenham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Northampton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-2 Northampton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One


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