Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Derby County
33.03% ( 0.08)	26.05% ( -0.06)	40.92% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.51% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.15% (

0.28)

50.84% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.27% (

0.25)

72.73% (

-0.25)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.92% (

0.19)

29.08% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35% (

0.24)

65% (

-0.24)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.46% (

0.11)

24.54% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.98% (

0.16)

59.01% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 33.03%

Derby County 40.91%

Draw 26.04%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.03%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 40.91%