MX23RW : Thursday, August 11 12:20:21
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Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK at The Valley
Charlton
1 - 0
Derby
Taylor (62')
Sessegnon (73'), Morgan (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Derby County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawDerby County
33.03% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 26.05% (-0.064 -0.06) 40.92% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.51% (0.229 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.15% (0.282 0.28)50.84% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.27% (0.247 0.25)72.73% (-0.25200000000001 -0.25)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (0.193 0.19)29.08% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35% (0.238 0.24)65% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (0.114 0.11)24.54% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (0.162 0.16)59.01% (-0.168 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 33.03%
    Derby County 40.91%
    Draw 26.04%
Charlton AthleticDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.65% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.44% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.24% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 33.03%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 10.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.04% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.3% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 40.91%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Charlton
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Ipswich 4-0 Charlton
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-2 Charlton
Tuesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-3 Morecambe
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-3 Leicester
Saturday, July 23 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, July 16 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 0-2 Derby
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-3 Bristol City
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Championship
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