SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Accrington Stanley | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Charlton Athletic | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Derby County | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Plymouth Argyle | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Derby County |
33.03% ( 0.08) | 26.05% ( -0.06) | 40.92% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.15% ( 0.28) | 50.84% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.27% ( 0.25) | 72.73% ( -0.25) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( 0.19) | 29.08% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% ( 0.24) | 65% ( -0.24) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.46% ( 0.11) | 24.54% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.98% ( 0.16) | 59.01% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.03% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 40.91% |
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