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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Valley
WL

Charlton
2 - 2
Wigan

Hughes (19' og.), Aneke (79')
Hector (21'), Jones (22'), Dobson (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kelman (62', 66')
McManaman (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Barnsley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 2-1 Wigan Athletic

While Charlton are proving to be a tough team to beat, the Latics have lost each of their last three away games, and we think that the hosts will take advantage of Wigan's away-day struggles to record a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawWigan Athletic
40.41% (0.00099999999999767 0) 25.38% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 34.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.29% (0.025999999999996 0.03)47.7% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1% (0.021999999999998 0.02)69.9% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (0.010999999999996 0.01)23.41% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (0.015999999999998 0.02)57.39% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.82% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88% (0.020000000000003 0.02)62.11% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 40.41%
    Wigan Athletic 34.21%
    Draw 25.37%
Charlton AthleticDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.41%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 34.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Barnsley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Stevenage
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Charlton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 3-2 Carlisle
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Charlton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 3-1 Wigan
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Burton Albion
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Blackpool
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 1-0 Wigan
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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