SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Carlisle United |
49.63% ( -0.05) | 24.71% ( 0.06) | 25.66% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( -0.24) | 48.99% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.92% ( -0.22) | 71.07% ( 0.22) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% ( -0.11) | 19.76% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.19% ( -0.19) | 51.81% ( 0.19) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% ( -0.13) | 33.49% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.88% ( -0.15) | 70.12% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 49.62% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.66% |
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