Crewe
2 - 0
Accrington

Beckles (32'), Porter (79')
Lowery (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hughes (70')
Rodgers (50')

Data Analysis

David Artell credits change in formation for vital Crewe victory

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Accrington Stanley
48.35%	24.73%	26.92%

Both teams to score 54.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.88%

48.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.72%

70.27%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.05%

19.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.9%

52.1%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.99%

32.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.53%

68.47%

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 48.35%

Accrington Stanley 26.92%

Draw 24.72%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-0 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.87% Total : 48.35%	1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 7.27% 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.68% Total : 26.92%