Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
