Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 35.21%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.12%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (12.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
