Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.