Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
