Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
