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League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
WW

Exeter
3 - 1
Wycombe

Kite (22'), Collins (38'), Dieng (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wheeler (50')
McCleary (45+1'), Scowen (59'), Forino-Joseph (73')
Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Wycombe Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawWycombe Wanderers
39.19% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 25.92% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 34.88% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.34% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)49.97% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)71.95% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)25.05% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)59.72% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)27.5% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37% (-0.061 -0.06)63% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 39.19%
    Wycombe Wanderers 34.88%
    Draw 25.92%
Exeter CityDrawWycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.54% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 6.6% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.19%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 34.88%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-7 Exeter
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Exeter 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol City 2-2 Exeter
Tuesday, July 19 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wycombe 1-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Wycombe
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Watford 4-1 Wycombe
Saturday, July 16 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Wycombe
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in League One


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