Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.43%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
-3.62) 
0.17) 
