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League One | Gameweek 23
Jan 19, 2021 at 7pm UK
Stadium mk
FT

MK Dons
3 - 1
Fleetwood

Mason (4', 21', 28')
Freeman (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Finley (83')
Coutts (34'), Finley (65'), Madden (82')
Coverage of the League One clash between MK Dons and Fleetwood Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawFleetwood Town
44.73%25.63%29.64%
Both teams to score 53.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69%50.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.75%72.25%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.56%22.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.02%55.98%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88%31.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.56%67.44%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 44.73%
    Fleetwood Town 29.64%
    Draw 25.63%
MK DonsDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.43%
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 7.8%
3-1 @ 4.53%
3-0 @ 3.88%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 44.73%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 6.98%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 8.15%
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 29.64%

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