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League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 15, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
NT

Oxford Utd
4 - 0
Northampton

Taylor (49', 89'), Shodipo (65'), Agyei (90+3')
Kelly (72'), Taylor (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Holmes (44')
Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Northampton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
52.89%24.24%22.86%
Both teams to score 51.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.43%49.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.4%71.59%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.31%18.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.96%50.03%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.74%36.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95%73.04%
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 52.89%
    Northampton Town 22.86%
    Draw 24.24%
Oxford UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 9.53%
3-1 @ 5.41%
3-0 @ 5.33%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 52.89%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 6.78%
2-2 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.24%
0-1 @ 6.88%
1-2 @ 5.85%
0-2 @ 3.49%
1-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 22.86%

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