Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
