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League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
ABAX Stadium
NT

Peterborough
3 - 1
Northampton

Szmodics (33', 48'), Clarke-Harris (67' pen.)
Beevers (42')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hoskins (43' pen.)
McWilliams (56'), Rose (79'), Jones (90+4')
Coverage of the League One clash between Peterborough United and Northampton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 69.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 12.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
69.24%18.64%12.12%
Both teams to score 47.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.51%43.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.11%65.89%
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.57%11.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.77%36.23%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.14%45.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.39%81.62%
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 69.24%
    Northampton Town 12.13%
    Draw 18.64%
Peterborough UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
2-0 @ 12.33%
1-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 8.91%
3-1 @ 6.95%
4-0 @ 4.83%
4-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 2.71%
5-0 @ 2.1%
5-1 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 69.24%
1-1 @ 8.87%
0-0 @ 5.24%
2-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 18.64%
0-1 @ 4.09%
1-2 @ 3.46%
0-2 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 12.13%

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