Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 23.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.