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League One | Gameweek 5
Oct 10, 2020 at 1pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
OU

Gillingham
3 - 1
Oxford Utd

Oliver (18'), Mellis (22'), Graham (70')
Drysdale (24'), Graham (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Agyei (48')
Coverage of the League One clash between Gillingham and Oxford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawOxford United
30.31%26.51%43.18%
Both teams to score 51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.4%53.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.9%75.11%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.67%32.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.16%68.84%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37%24.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86%59.14%
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 30.31%
    Oxford United 43.17%
    Draw 26.5%
GillinghamDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.99%
2-1 @ 7.11%
2-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 30.31%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 11.15%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-2 @ 7.82%
1-3 @ 4.12%
0-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 43.17%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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