Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 45.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
