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League One | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Energy Check County Ground
IL

Swindon
1 - 2
Ipswich

Pitman (71')
Thompson (34'), Grounds (43'), Curran (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Norwood (44' pen., 58')
Downes (81')
Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Ipswich Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawIpswich Town
29.34%27.13%43.53%
Both teams to score 48.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.65%56.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.62%77.37%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51%34.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.79%71.21%
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31%25.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.4%60.6%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 29.34%
    Ipswich Town 43.53%
    Draw 27.12%
Swindon TownDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 9.43%
2-1 @ 6.82%
2-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 29.34%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.86%
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 12.04%
1-2 @ 8.71%
0-2 @ 8.18%
1-3 @ 3.95%
0-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 43.53%

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