Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
