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League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
BR

Lincoln
5 - 0
Bristol Rovers

O'Connor (11'), Taylor (19', 23', 55'), Hackett (81')
Erhahon (45+4'), Skubala (46'), Makama (65'), Roughan (71')
Erhahon (76')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Aguilera (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 6-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 3-1 Bristol Rovers

Lincoln are flying at the moment, and it may take a superior side to Bristol Rovers to stop Skubala's side. The former Leeds United caretaker boss has let the shackles off in recent weeks, with the Imps posting an unbeaten record of 12 matches. The visitors, on the other hand, have little to play for and have failed to score in their last two games. We can see that changing on Saturday, but it may not be enough to prevent them from falling to defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBristol Rovers
48.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.72% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 24.55% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.45% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.47% (0.045000000000002 0.05)57.53% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.68% (0.037000000000003 0.04)78.32% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.68% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (0.027000000000001 0.03)57.8% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04)39.13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15% (0.036999999999999 0.04)75.85% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 48.73%
    Bristol Rovers 24.55%
    Draw 26.71%
Lincoln CityDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 13.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 9.27% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 24.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lincoln 6-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-5 Lincoln
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Exeter
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-3 Derby
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 2-3 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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