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League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
M

Lincoln
2 - 1
Morecambe

Whittaker (10'), Bramall (19')
Walsh (42'), Maguire (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Diagouraga (56')
Bedeau (90+2')

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Morecambe

This could be a nervy clash on Tuesday due to the importance of this relegation battle, but with both sides relatively prolific in front of goal and leaky at the other end of the pitch, we are still expecting a few goals. If Lincoln can perform anywhere near their best then they should have enough in them to see off Morecambe, despite their league position this campaign, but the visitors are likely to be downbeat following their dramatic draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lincoln City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawMorecambe
54.7%24.12%21.18%
Both teams to score 50.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16%50.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28%72.72%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52%18.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32%49.68%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.39%38.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65%75.35%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 54.7%
    Morecambe 21.18%
    Draw 24.11%
Lincoln CityDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 12.04%
2-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 5.45%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-0 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 54.7%
1-1 @ 11.46%
0-0 @ 7.13%
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.11%
0-1 @ 6.79%
1-2 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 3.23%
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 21.18%

Read more!
Read more!


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