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League One | Gameweek 30
Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
 
BA

Lincoln
1 - 2
Burton Albion

Marquis (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Powell (56'), Hughes (80')
Oshilaja (19'), Kokolo (51')

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Burton Albion

Neither side is particularly prolific, so given both teams' recent improvements a close-fought but low-scoring draw could be the result when they convene this weekend. While Lincoln will be targeting maximum points against a fellow mid-table outfit, their mediocre home form and Burton's resilience will see the spoils shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBurton Albion
45.44%26.32%28.24%
Both teams to score 50.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.21%53.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.73%75.26%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.39%23.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32%57.68%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01%33.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33%70.66%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 45.44%
    Burton Albion 28.24%
    Draw 26.31%
Lincoln CityDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.58%
2-1 @ 9.02%
2-0 @ 8.36%
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 45.44%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 8.02%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.66%
1-2 @ 6.75%
0-2 @ 4.67%
1-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 28.24%

Read more!
Read more!


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