Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.