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League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
 
OU

Lincoln
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Scully (40'), Whittaker (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Taylor (90')
Kane (77')

We said: Lincoln City 1-2 Oxford United

Oxford enter the contest as one of the most in-form sides in the league, and we think that they will take advantage of a Lincoln side low on confidence to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawOxford United
31.98%26%42.02%
Both teams to score 53.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.04%50.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.17%72.82%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17%29.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09%65.91%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97%24.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.7%58.29%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 31.98%
    Oxford United 42.02%
    Draw 26%
Lincoln CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.67%
2-1 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 31.98%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.17%
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-2 @ 7.29%
1-3 @ 4.19%
0-3 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 2.53%
1-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 42.02%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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