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League One | Gameweek 17
Jan 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium of Light
LC

Sunderland
1 - 3
Lincoln

Stewart (68' pen.)
Winchester (41'), Doyle (90+7')
Winchester (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maguire (31', 57' pen., 75')
Maguire (10'), Bishop (23'), Eyoma (42'), Whittaker (64'), Fiorini (84'), Sorensen (90+1'), McGrandles (90+7')

We said: Sunderland 3-1 Lincoln City

After ending their winless streak at the weekend, Lincoln travel to the Stadium of Light full of confidence and with a little less pressure on their shoulders. Nevertheless, Sunderland will be determined to move clear of Rotherham, and we expect the home side to collect all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 60.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 17.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawLincoln City
60.45%22.32%17.22%
Both teams to score 48.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06%48.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97%71.03%
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.24%15.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.12%44.87%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.08%41.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.63%78.37%
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 60.44%
    Lincoln City 17.22%
    Draw 22.32%
SunderlandDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 12.2%
2-0 @ 11.27%
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 6.95%
3-1 @ 6.04%
4-0 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-2 @ 1.21%
5-0 @ 1.19%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 60.44%
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 6.61%
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 22.32%
0-1 @ 5.74%
1-2 @ 4.61%
0-2 @ 2.5%
1-3 @ 1.34%
2-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 17.22%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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