Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
