Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
