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League One | Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
The Valley
MD

Charlton
0 - 1
MK Dons


Pratley (35'), Gilbey (60'), Maddison (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fraser (75')
Sorinola (35'), Lewington (70')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawMK Dons
32.5%27.43%40.07%
Both teams to score 49.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.52%56.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.52%77.47%
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73%32.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23%68.76%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.41%27.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.88%63.11%
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 32.49%
    MK Dons 40.06%
    Draw 27.42%
Charlton AthleticDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.49%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 8.9%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 11.46%
1-2 @ 8.35%
0-2 @ 7.38%
1-3 @ 3.58%
0-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 1.15%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 40.06%

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