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League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 29, 2020 at 7pm UK
The Energy Check County Ground
MD

Swindon
1 - 4
MK Dons

Payne (37')
Hunt (83')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Jerome (4', 40'), Harvie (28'), Poole (77')
Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and MK Dons.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawMK Dons
33.66%26.87%39.47%
Both teams to score 51.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.93%54.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.5%75.49%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73%30.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56%66.44%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.21%26.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.92%62.07%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 33.66%
    MK Dons 39.47%
    Draw 26.86%
Swindon TownDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 7.63%
2-0 @ 5.79%
3-1 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.66%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.11%
2-2 @ 5.02%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 10.68%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-2 @ 7.03%
1-3 @ 3.69%
0-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 39.47%

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