Swindon
1 - 4
MK Dons

Payne (37')
Hunt (83')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Jerome (4', 40'), Harvie (28'), Poole (77')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and MK Dons.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	MK Dons
33.66%	26.87%	39.47%

Both teams to score 51.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.93%

54.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.5%

75.49%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.73%

30.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.56%

66.44%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.21%

26.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.92%

62.07%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 33.66%

MK Dons 39.47%

Draw 26.86%

Swindon Town	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.3% Total : 33.66%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.11% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 10.68% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-2 @ 7.03% 1-3 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.13% Total : 39.47%