Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
