Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 23.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
