Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.