Oxford Utd
1 - 2
Swindon

Taylor (15')
Obita (64'), Sykes (77'), Eastwood (79'), Shodipo (84'), Long (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Broadbent (85'), Smith (90+2')
Smith (23'), Grant (90+5')

Build‑up

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Swindon Town
48.22%	26.46%	25.32%

Both teams to score 47.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.94%

56.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.86%

77.14%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.71%

23.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.78%

57.22%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.38%

37.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.6%

74.4%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 48.21%

Swindon Town 25.32%

Draw 26.46%

Oxford United	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 12.76% 2-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.7% Total : 48.21%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.67% Total : 25.32%