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OU
League One | Gameweek 8
Nov 28, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
ST

Oxford Utd
1 - 2
Swindon

Taylor (15')
Obita (64'), Sykes (77'), Eastwood (79'), Shodipo (84'), Long (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Broadbent (85'), Smith (90+2')
Smith (23'), Grant (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSwindon Town
48.22%26.46%25.32%
Both teams to score 47.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.94%56.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.86%77.14%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71%23.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.78%57.22%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.38%37.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.6%74.4%
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 48.21%
    Swindon Town 25.32%
    Draw 26.46%
Oxford UnitedDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 12.76%
2-0 @ 9.3%
2-1 @ 9.09%
3-0 @ 4.52%
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 1.65%
4-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 48.21%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 8.76%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 8.56%
1-2 @ 6.1%
0-2 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 25.32%


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