Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-0 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
