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League One | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK
ABAX Stadium
ST

Peterborough
3 - 1
Swindon

Clarke-Harris (48', 69' pen.), Broom (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Payne (6')
Baudry (44'), Caddis (68'), Grounds (90+1')
Coverage of the League One clash between Peterborough United and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 24.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawSwindon Town
50.28%24.99%24.73%
Both teams to score 51.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.12%50.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.24%72.76%
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.75%20.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.42%52.58%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.69%35.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.94%72.06%
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 50.28%
    Swindon Town 24.73%
    Draw 24.98%
Peterborough UnitedDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 9.49%
2-0 @ 9.12%
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 2.02%
4-0 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 50.28%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 7.15%
2-2 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.44%
1-2 @ 6.19%
0-2 @ 3.87%
1-3 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 24.73%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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