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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Peterborough United |
38.28% ( 5.89) | 25.79% ( 0.13) | 35.93% ( -6.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.73% ( 0.09) | 49.27% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.67% ( 0.08) | 71.32% ( -0.08) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( 3.54) | 25.23% ( -3.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.03% ( 4.64) | 59.97% ( -4.63) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( -3.18) | 26.54% ( 3.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.25% ( -4.42) | 61.75% ( 4.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.85) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.84)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 1.13)3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.72)3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.75)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.35)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.33)Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.28% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.89) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.74)0-2 @ 5.89% ( -1.21)1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.7)0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.84)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.37)Other @ 3.2% Total : 35.93% |
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