Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 49.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.