SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 59.57% | 23.68% | 16.75% |
| Both teams to score 44.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.13% | 54.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.84% | 76.16% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.83% | 18.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.84% | 49.15% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.96% | 46.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.25% | 81.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 14.26% 2-0 @ 12.16% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 5.36% 4-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.08% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.1% Total : 59.56% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 0-0 @ 8.36% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.59% Total : 23.67% | 0-1 @ 6.49% 1-2 @ 4.29% 0-2 @ 2.52% 1-3 @ 1.11% 2-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.4% Total : 16.75% |
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