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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Valley
PA

Charlton
0 - 1
Plymouth


Levitt (21'), Aneke (62'), Forster-Caskey (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jephcott (60')
Nouble (88')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Charlton Athletic and Plymouth Argyle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawPlymouth Argyle
34.9%25.43%39.67%
Both teams to score 56.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.2%47.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02%69.98%
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55%26.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37%61.62%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18%23.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01%57.99%
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 34.9%
    Plymouth Argyle 39.67%
    Draw 25.43%
Charlton AthleticDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 8.38%
2-1 @ 7.99%
2-0 @ 5.57%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 34.9%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.3%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 9.04%
1-2 @ 8.62%
0-2 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 4.12%
0-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.74%
1-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 39.67%


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