SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
38.03% ( -0.3) | 26.7% ( 0.06) | 35.26% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.79% ( -0.22) | 53.21% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.22% ( -0.18) | 74.77% ( 0.18) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( -0.27) | 27.19% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.4% ( -0.35) | 62.6% ( 0.35) |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( 0.04) | 28.84% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.3% ( 0.05) | 64.69% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.03% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.26% |
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