In a match with permutations at both ends of the table, we expect a tightly fought affair that will produce plenty of chances for both sides.
On this occasion, both sides will be inseparable and will have to be content with a point apiece in their first match of 2023.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
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