Peterborough will be keen to win the first game of Ferguson's fourth spell in charge, but with both teams level on points, we think a close-fought contest could result in the spoils being shared.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.