Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 15.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Morecambe |
61.34% ( 0.02) | 23.19% ( -0.01) | 15.47% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 42.93% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.92% ( 0.01) | 55.07% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.67% ( 0) | 76.33% ( -0.01) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.39% ( 0.01) | 17.61% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.81% ( 0.02) | 48.19% ( -0.02) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.11% ( -0.01) | 47.89% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.85% ( -0.01) | 83.15% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 14.64% 2-0 @ 12.71% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2% 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 61.32% | 1-1 @ 10.78% 0-0 @ 8.43% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 23.19% | 0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 15.47% |
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