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League One | Gameweek 13
Nov 21, 2020 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
CA

Portsmouth
4 - 1
Crewe

Curtis (15', 40'), Naylor (51'), Marquis (57')
Cannon (15'), Harrison (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Finney (90+3' pen.)
Ng (57')
Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Crewe Alexandra.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawCrewe Alexandra
48.98%26.11%24.9%
Both teams to score 48.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.9%55.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.65%76.35%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47%22.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.89%56.1%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54%37.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75%74.24%
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 48.97%
    Crewe Alexandra 24.9%
    Draw 26.11%
PortsmouthDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 12.57%
2-0 @ 9.37%
2-1 @ 9.2%
3-0 @ 4.66%
3-1 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 48.97%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 8.44%
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 8.29%
1-2 @ 6.06%
0-2 @ 4.07%
1-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 24.9%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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