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League One | Gameweek 4
Nov 17, 2020 at 7pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
CA

Oxford Utd
0 - 2
Crewe


Shodipo (67'), Clare (78'), Rodriguez (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mandron (28'), Dale (90+2')
Offord (68'), Dale (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
48.75%25.59%25.65%
Both teams to score 50.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.44%52.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.78%74.21%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43%21.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.34%54.66%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.58%35.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.82%72.18%
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 48.74%
    Crewe Alexandra 25.65%
    Draw 25.59%
Oxford UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 8.99%
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 4.6%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 48.74%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 7.93%
1-2 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 25.65%


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