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League One | Gameweek 22
Feb 9, 2021 at 7pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
MD

Rochdale
1 - 4
MK Dons

Lund (39')
O'Connell (30'), Lund (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
O'Riley (5'), Jules (55'), Fraser (58'), Jerome (62')
Coverage of the League One clash between Rochdale and MK Dons.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawMK Dons
24.99%25.15%49.86%
Both teams to score 51.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68%51.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.85%73.14%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68%35.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92%72.07%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4%20.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.86%53.14%
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 24.99%
    MK Dons 49.86%
    Draw 25.15%
RochdaleDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 7.57%
2-1 @ 6.23%
2-0 @ 3.94%
3-1 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.71%
3-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 24.99%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 7.27%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 11.49%
1-2 @ 9.45%
0-2 @ 9.08%
1-3 @ 4.98%
0-3 @ 4.78%
2-3 @ 2.59%
1-4 @ 1.97%
0-4 @ 1.89%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 49.86%

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