Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
