SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 29.45% | 26.29% | 44.25% |
| Both teams to score 51.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.91% | 53.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.33% | 74.67% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% | 32.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.76% | 69.24% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% | 23.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.94% | 58.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% 2-1 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 4.88% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.45% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.8% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 11.17% 1-2 @ 8.95% 0-2 @ 8.01% 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.72% Total : 44.25% |
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