Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-0 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
