Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rotherham United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Rotherham United.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Cambridge United |
60.2% ( 0.14) | 22.32% ( 0) | 17.48% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 49.44% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.49% ( -0.23) | 48.52% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.36% ( -0.21) | 70.65% ( 0.21) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.31% ( -0.03) | 15.7% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.24% ( -0.06) | 44.76% ( 0.06) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.65% ( -0.3) | 41.36% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.13% ( -0.27) | 77.87% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 60.19% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.31% | 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.48% |
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