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League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
CU

Rotherham
2 - 1
Cambridge

Wilks (53'), Odofin (69')
Sibley (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Loft (49')
Kachunga (4'), Gibbons (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 3-2 Mansfield
Saturday, January 25 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Rotherham United 2-1 Cambridge United

Rotherham should be considered strong favourites as they boast a strong record at home and are in good goalscoring form. While Cambridge could find the back of the net given the hosts have been porous defensively of late, they have struggled away from home all season, and it is difficult to see them picking up any points on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rotherham United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Rotherham United.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawCambridge United
60.2% (0.14 0.14) 22.32% (0.0020000000000024 0) 17.48% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.44% (-0.276 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49% (-0.228 -0.23)48.52% (0.227 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36% (-0.209 -0.21)70.65% (0.208 0.21)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.31% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)15.7% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.24% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)44.76% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.65% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)41.36% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.13% (-0.27 -0.27)77.87% (0.26899999999999 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 60.19%
    Cambridge United 17.48%
    Draw 22.31%
Rotherham UnitedDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 12.02% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 11.12% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.87% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 60.19%
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 22.31%
0-1 @ 5.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.69% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 17.48%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burton Albion 4-2 Rotherham
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 4-2 Charlton
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Chesterfield 0-0 Rotherham (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Rotherham 3-1 Bolton
Saturday, January 11 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Rotherham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 3-2 Mansfield
Saturday, January 25 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-2 Cambridge
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-3 Reading
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Cambridge
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Cambridge
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One


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