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League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
The New York Stadium
CT

Rotherham
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Smith (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Boyle (31'), Nlundulu (38'), Sercombe (86'), Thomas (90+9')

We said: Rotherham United 3-1 Cheltenham Town

The Millers usually fare well on home turf, and we do not see that changing at the weekend when they come up against a Cheltenham side that are struggling to pick up wins. Rotherham have found the net with ease at home in recent times, and we think that they will be among the goals once again on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 68%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
68%18.57%13.42%
Both teams to score 52.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.01%39.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.65%62.35%
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.22%10.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.22%34.77%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.43%41.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.94%78.05%
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 68%
    Cheltenham Town 13.42%
    Draw 18.57%
Rotherham UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 11.11%
1-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 7.25%
4-0 @ 4.6%
4-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 3.18%
5-0 @ 2.05%
5-1 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 68%
1-1 @ 8.76%
0-0 @ 4.48%
2-2 @ 4.28%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.57%
0-1 @ 3.93%
1-2 @ 3.85%
0-2 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.25%
1-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 13.42%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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